Among them is Elias, a PhD candidate studying bird migration. He has a problem: his data is messy, his sample size is small, and the standard tests keep telling him nothing is happening. He feels like he’s trying to map a forest by looking through a straw.
One evening, he finds a weathered copy of Richard McElreath's He opens it, expecting dry formulas, but instead finds a guide to building "generative models"—stories about how the world actually works. The Awakening Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with ...
He closes the book, now dog-eared and stained with coffee, and looks at his data. The forest is no longer seen through a straw; the owl is finally drawn. Among them is Elias, a PhD candidate studying bird migration